Free Horse Racing Systems & Staking Plans

The Retirement Staking Plan was devised by Grandstand Publishing’s racing analyst Barry Hughes, and is rated by some professional punters and people who know racing, to be one of, if not the best staking plan they have seen.

Barry did not invent this plan by accident, it took know how and hundreds of hours of calculations to get it right.

His aim was to formulate a staking plan that could recoup all losses, and to show profits, even when a plan only breaks even. In other words, over a period of time you might have had 80 bets for 25 winners, you didn’t lose, but you didn’t win either. He also wanted a staking plan that could withstand long runs of outs and still achieve profits.

View the full details of the staking plan at http://www.grandstand.com.au/retirement.html

Rules:
Bet any horse that won its last race, provided that the win came within the last ten days, and provided that it has also previously won over the distance of today’s race.
Ignore any race in which there is more than one qualifier.
System applies to both flat and NH racing.
System applies to UK races only.

Staking:
5pts win on each selection.

Logic:
This system plays on the advantages of in-form horses which were very successfully highlighted in System 6 (Recent Winners), but with the additional option of being able to use more than one selection in any one racing day if appropriate.
The qualifying criteria of at least one previous distance win should restrict the number of bets to an acceptable level, whilst also ensuring that today’s trip is suitable for the already in-form runners.

Results based on 5pt wins (100 bets)
Total stakes: 500 pts
Total returns: 596.14 pts
Profit +96.14 units

Source: cdsystems

Rule 1: Operate on Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide meetings (any day).
Rule 2: Operate on races from 1400 metres to 2240 metres (inclusive).
Rule 3: Operate on races where the track is rated either good or dead.
Rule 4: Consider horses that are aged three, four, or five years old.
Rule 5: Must have had at least three runs in the current campaign.
Rule 6: Must be in barrier one to seven (inclusive).
Rule 7: Pre-post price must be from 2/1 to 8/1 (inclusive).
Rule 8: No more than 18 days since last start.
Rule 9: The horse must have won on either good or dead going.
Rule 10: If more than one contender, choose the horse with the lowest TAB number.

Since 1/1/2004, the results have been the following:
Selections: 1208
Wins: 231 (19.12%)
Return: $1247.80
Profit: $39.80 (3.29%)

Source: Pro-Punter

Each day select the non-handicap race with the most runners.

Bet the favourite to win, but without naming it.

If there are two or more qualifying races there is no bet.

System applies to UK races only.

System applies to both flat and NH races.

Once the qualifying bet is published it will stand regardless of any late non-runners, either in the same race or in any other.

Staking:
Stake 5 points to win on each selection.

Logic:
There is an old saying: ‘the bigger the field the better the favourite’ and, as in all old proverbs, there is an element of substance to it - this trial will hopefully prove just how much.

Races with more runners tend to be truly-run affairs, as opposed to those with small fields which often provide no early pace and no cover for the runners that need it.

Races with big fields are also much less competitive, on many occasions, than they first appear. They often contain many runners that have no realistic chance of winning. That applies much more so to non-handicap events, on which the system is based.

Results based on 5pt wins (100 bets)

Total stakes: 500 pts
Total returns: 482.29 pts
Loss: 17.71 pts

Source: cdsystems

Rule 1: Operate on Sydney and Melbourne meetings on Saturdays.
Rule 2: Operate on good tracks only.
Rule 3: Conider horses that are grey only.
Rule 4: Must be TAB number 1 or 2.
Rule 5: Last start must have been between 3 and 28 days (inclusive).
Rule 6: Must be first or second favourite in the pre-post market.

Results (from 1/1/2005 to 5/8/2005):
Selections: 228
Wins: 58 (25.44%)
Places (1-2-3): 132 (57.89%)
Win return: $270.60
Win profit: $42.60 (18.68%)

Source: Pro-Punter

Rule 1: Operate on metropolitan meetings on Saturdays.
Rule 2: Operate on group and listed races with a distance between 1000 metres and 2100 metres (inclusive).
Rule 3: Operate on races between 3 and 16 runners (inclusive).
Rule 4: Horse must be aged from 3 and 7 years old (inclusive).
Rule 5: Horse\'s last start must have been between 4 and 28 days ago (inclusive).
Rule 6: Horse must have won its last start or have been beaten no more than 1.5 lengths.
Rule 7: Horse must be the pre-post favourite.
Rule 8: Horse must be in the top five in average prizemoney.
Rule 9: Horse must have a win strike rate of 25 per cent or higher.
Rule 10: Horse must have been in the first three at least once over the distance.

Selections: 624
Wins: 196 (31.41%)
Places (1-2-3): 367 (58.81%)
Win return: $647.60
Win profit: $23.60 (+3.78%)

Source: Pro-Punter

Look for horses who win first time out and back them until they retire.

Reason:
Horses who do not win first time out are animals that are less straight forward and in general have an inferior win rate to horses who do win first time out. Now there are strict rules to this system. Obviously if we back these horses blind every race we will be pennyless come what july. So therefore we must check the horses current well being and its trainer’s form etc to make a case for a good bet.

There is absolutely no point in betting on the animal if it is out of form or badly drawn. It is your choice to observe the horses current condition i.e. does it have ground conditions to suit, form on the distance etc. If you check the racing record of all the great horses, you will notice that the majority of them won first time out. Poorer animals take longer to break their maiden tag. That is why you fair greater with animals who win first time out.

Try this for a short period of time, see how the results pan out.

Source: n/a

Rule 1: Consider horses that are trained by the top trainer.
Rule 2: Placed (1-2-3) last start.
Rule 3: Carrying less than 53 kilograms.
Rule 4: Priced at more than 4/1.

From 1st January 2003 to 31st July 2005 (Sydney and Melbourne) the results were as follows:

Selections: 561
Wins: 46 (8.20%)
Places (1-2-3): 154 (27.45%)
Win return: $435.30
Win loss: $125.70 (22.41%)’,

Source: n/a

I have been using this system for the last 3 weeks and The strike rate for this system is 100%.
The rules to this system are very easy.

1. Using the daily mail racing statistics.
2. There must be at least 7 years worth of statistics for the race to make this work.
3. Any race that has a strike rate for winning favourites of less than 20% is the lay.
4. Using betfair lay the horse who is favourite just before the off, if there are joint favourites? lay them both.
5. Don’t just lay the paper favourite for the race, as this can change before the off. Please stick to rule 4 for this to work.

The price of the fav to lay can be quite large, in this case i would say only lay the races that have a favourite of no bigger than 3/1.

Source: n/a

The system is based on the fact that horses carrying a weight penalty still perform very well. The effect of weight on a horse is not as severe as people think, especially if the horse is young, male and fit. This system takes advantage of that fact. This system has been developed by analysing flat races, and so should only be applied to horses taking part in flat races.

Any horse that meets the following criteria should be backed to win:
1. The horse must be carrying a weight penalty.
2. The horse must be 2 or 3 years old.
3. The horse must be male.
4. The horse must have ran its last race 7 or less days ago.
5. The horse must be forecast as 1st favourite.

Out of 581 horses selected by this system, 224 won, which is a strike rate of 38.55%. The level stake profits were 109.14 points. Please note that these results were obtained by analysing flat races only. It may be the case that this system works equally well for jump racing, but I cannot confirm this. Although this system has been profitable in the past, I cannot guarentee that it will continue to be profitable in the future.

Source: n/a